"Can we talk more about God?" That's what my four-year-old asked me at bedtime last night. And the night before. And the night before that. She's no doubt seeki...Jan 4, 2022 · Yes, and that is God! (1) Whatever begins to exist must have a cause for its existence. (2) The universe began to exist. (3) Therefore, the universe must have a cause for its existence. (4) The attributes of the cause of the universe (being timeless, existing outside of space, and so on) are the attributes of God. From your answers, a probability that God exists is calculated. This test can't tell you what the truth is, but it can help you understand the implications of what you personally believe. For background information on this test, including Bayesian probability, the actual numbers assigned to each answer and how the …1. Undefined probability for God’s existence. Premise 1 presupposes that you should have a probability for God’s existence in the first place. However, perhaps you could rationally fail to assign it a probability—your probability that God exists could remain undefined. We cannot enter here into the thorny issues concerning …The evidential problem of evil is the problem of determining whether and, if so, to what extent the existence of evil (or certain instances, kinds, quantities, or distributions of evil) … What is the probability "an intelligent being known as god exists and created the universe from thing" is true? EDIT: Okay. Let's see why the answer is E. A. Highly probable. No one answered this that I saw so I'm not going to dwell on it. B. Not very probable. We can revisit this one if needed. C. There's no way to know. The reason it's not c ... Since pro-god arguments are often flawed, conclusive evidence for god for god is nonexistent, and there's enough reason to believe that god concepts are made up (also the fact that all the countless religions claim to know but can't agree on what a god is), I'd say the probability of a god's existence is pretty much zero.Pascal says that if you bet that God exists, and he does in fact exist, you. win infinite happiness and lose nothing. Pascal believes that when it comes to the question of God's existence. reason can decide nothing. Hick says the idea of a person who can be infallibly guaranteed always to act rightly is.Evidence of God exists in daily human experiences ( Romans 1:19–20; Psalm 19:1; Ecclesiastes 3:11 ). This includes our innate sense of morality. It applies to the apparent design of the universe around us. Human life compels belief that truth, deception, love, hate, goodness, evil, etc., are real and meaningful.Apr 29, 2005 · Thus, the probability that God exists, P (of God), is P (of God) = the integral from ( - infinity) to ( +infinity) P(x) dx But the uncertainty in God's position is 0, so the probability of God with respect to position, P(x), is a constant C. Montefiore Hugh (1985) 'The Probability of God' SCM Press Lymington ... existence of God. He then proceeded to ... God exists than the contrary. He summed up his ...Tooley makes a strong claim in the opposite direction in his essay, “Inductive Logic and the Probability that God Exists: Farewell to Skeptical Theism,” stating that “relative to evidence that consists simply of facts about the evils to be found in the world” the existence of God is ex- tremely unlikely (146). Tooley’s argument breaks ...Odds on that God exists, says scientist. Stewart Maclean, Catherine Bolsover and Polly Curtis. Monday March 8, 2004. A scientist has calculated that there is a 67% chance that God exists. Dr Stephen Unwin has used a 200-year-old formula to calculate the probability of the existence of an omnipotent being.Each value is the probability that God exists based on that factor. For example, for factor d1, the existence of goodness, he assigns the value d1=10, meaning that on this factor alone, God is 10 times more likely to exist than not. The other values are similarly assigned. He calls the values 10 and 0.1 "much more (or …Jun 10, 2023 · Does God exist? Prior probability. Show Explanation. 1) Existence of the physical universe. Show Explanation. Expectation given God. Expectation given not god. …Probability, or the mathematical chance that something might happen, is used in numerous day-to-day applications, including in weather forecasts.Pascal says that if you bet that God exists, and he does in fact exist, you. win infinite happiness and lose nothing. Pascal believes that when it comes to the question of God's existence. reason can decide nothing. Hick says the idea of a person who can be infallibly guaranteed always to act rightly is.'Big Bang Theory' Spinoff 'Young Sheldon' Offers Scientific Explanation for Why God Exists By Jeannie Ortega Law , Christian Post Reporter Thursday, October 11, 2018 Mary holds her song while in prayer, during season 2, Episode 3 of "Young Sheldon," aisr date Oct 4, 2018. | (Screenshot: CBS.com)Given that God exists, either the probability of God becoming incarnate is greater than 1/2, the probability of a unified incarnation is 0, or the probability of a divided incarnation is less than 1/2. For this reason many will assign c a lower probability, or a range that represents ignorance. Many others will simply not be convinced by the ...ME: Hey God. Am I good enough for my kids? Am I doing a good job? Do I do enough good to outweigh the bad? GOD: Has your child smiled... Edit Your Post Published by jthreeNMe on Fe...That’s what Dr. Stephen Unwin attempts to do in this riveting, accessible, and witty book, The Probability of God. At its core, this groundbreaking book reveals how a math equation developed more than 200 years ago by noted European philosopher Thomas Bayes can be used to calculate the probability …Mar 17, 2022 ... But (a) sceptical theism is mathematically unsound (even if God could have such reasons, evil still lowers the probability of God's existence) ...The probability that a god exists (or existed) is more than the percentage of germs that hand-sanitizer kills (99.999%) [or at the very least: it's more reasonable to believe that a god exists than to believe that we exist because of random chance] ... This is a fine example on why arguing god's existence is unlikely to persuade others is ...The Problem of Evil. First published Mon Sep 16, 2002; substantive revision Tue Mar 3, 2015. The epistemic question posed by evil is whether the world contains undesirable states of affairs that provide the basis for an argument that makes it unreasonable to believe in the existence of God. This discussion is …Aug 16, 2004 · Among the various versions of his wager argument, Pascal employs this Rule in a version which states that no matter how small the probability that God exists, …ME: Hey God. Am I good enough for my kids? Am I doing a good job? Do I do enough good to outweigh the bad? GOD: Has your child smiled... Edit Your Post Published by jthreeNMe on Fe...Fine Tuning is therefore evidence against the existence of God. And it’s rather strong evidence at that. It means the probability that (at least a creator) God exists is less than 6%. And this is being …Given that God exists, either the probability of God becoming incarnate is greater than 1/2, the probability of a unified incarnation is 0, or the probability of a divided incarnation is less than 1/2. For this reason many will assign c a lower probability, or a range that represents ignorance. Many others will simply not be convinced by the ...Jun 27, 2009 · Richard Swinburne’s argument in The Existence of God discusses many probabilities, ultimately concluding that God probably exists. Swinburne gives exact values to almost none of these probabilities. I attempted to assign values to the probabilities that met that weak condition that they could be correct. In this paper, I first present a brief outline of Swinburne’s argument in The ... First published Thu Jun 12, 2014; substantive revision Tue Oct 4, 2022. Moral arguments for God’s existence form a diverse family of arguments that reason from some feature of morality or the moral life to the existence of God, usually understood as a morally good creator of the universe. Moral arguments are both important and interesting.If this is the case, then, standard probabilistic reasoning tells us that the existence of our universe confirms God's existence. The fine-tuning argument has a ...Feb 20, 2017 · \[p = \textrm{Your Personal Probability That a God Exists}\] Now what is your expected payoff if you choose to believe in a god? Well it should be a probability …I spoke to God tonight, and I told Him I made mistakes today. I spoke to God tonight, and I told Him I was ungrateful, I had a bad attitude,... Edit Your Post Published by jthreeNM...Evidence of God exists in daily human experiences ( Romans 1:19–20; Psalm 19:1; Ecclesiastes 3:11 ). This includes our innate sense of morality. It applies to the apparent design of the universe around us. Human life compels belief that truth, deception, love, hate, goodness, evil, etc., are real and meaningful.The evaluation of the claim that a miracle has occurred will therefore be sensitive to the probability of the claim that God exists, and the evaluation of the categorical form of the argument will therefore depend on the overall evaluation of the evidence of natural theology and of atheological arguments such as the problem …Probabilities may be marginal, joint or conditional. A marginal probability is the probability of a single event happening. It is not conditional on any other event occurring.Apr 25, 2022 ... Meyer lists the odds of probability that a life-sustaining universe came into being and that life sprang into existence. As you will soon see, ...The evidential problem of evil is the problem of determining whether and, if so, to what extent the existence of evil (or certain instances, kinds, quantities, or distributions of evil) … Pascal says that if you bet that God exists, and he does in fact exist, you. ... Believing that God exists increases the probability that God does in fact exist. Mar 1, 2024 · The overall aim of the book is to argue for the claim that the proposition God exists is more probable than not, or, to put it somewhat more technically, that the …According to the defender of the IBE design argument, we need to distinguish between the following two kinds of probability judgments: 1) The probability that a particular ticket will win. 2) The probability that some (i.e., at least one) ticket will win. The value of (1) is 1/100,000,000. The value of (2) is 1.Perhaps it can also help convince others. In the rest of this post, I will consider the intrinsic probability of theism–the probability we should assign to God’s existence before considering the evidence–and argue that it should not be too low. In the next post, I will consider some important lines of evidence provided by science.It is therefore worthwhile to attempt to establish the intrinsic probability of theism, the a priori probability that God exists. If we begin with the thought that God’s existence is highly …First published Thu Jun 12, 2014; substantive revision Tue Oct 4, 2022. Moral arguments for God’s existence form a diverse family of arguments that reason from some feature of morality or the moral life to the existence of God, usually understood as a morally good creator of the universe. Moral arguments are both important and interesting.Unwin does hold back and merely suggests that what we perceive to be religious experiences – perceived moments of oneness with a higher power – are more likely to be justified if there is such a higher power. Unwin gives a Bayes factor of 2, bringing us to the conclusion that in his perspective, the probability of God’s existence is 67% ...The probability of that happening comes out at about 1 in 10 2,685,000, or 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeros. For comparison, the Universe only has 10 80 atoms. The infographic finishes by letting you know that the probability of you existing as you is pretty much zero. This means that you are the textbook definition of a miracle.The probability that God exists and is willing to strike you with lightning on demand has been bumped up by a factor of about 2000 when you were hit by lightning! The probability is still pretty low, because of the possibility of confounding factors, which we included as event B. If you redo the same calculations but with P(B) = 0 (meaning ... Probability Results. 50.0%. The probability of God's existence based on selected values is 0.5 which is 1 in 2 or 50.0%. Based on the values entered, you are unsure whether God exists. Exact output up to 100 decimal places: 0.5. As an example of his stance, Price calculates the supposed probability of viewing the tide not coming into shore one day using Bayes’ formula. His final estimation of “somewhere between 1 in 600,000 and 1 in 3 million” indicates, that though improbable, miracles do in fact exist and are the product of a higher power.The only way you can determine the probability that I am correct is to know the probability that a God exists. Think of it this way. You are going to roll a 6 sided die. I had a dream that you rolled a 1. The probability my dream is correct is 1 in 6. Because THAT is the probability of rolling a 1 on a fair 6 sided die. I am just saying, that for each one of these childhood cancer event, as long as you would agree a non-zero probability exists that god is just a man-made concept and that it doesn't really exists, then given the mathematical formula that calculates the final probability based on a series of events, given a sufficiently large N of events, it ... Probability, or the mathematical chance that something might happen, is used in numerous day-to-day applications, including in weather forecasts.Probability, or the mathematical chance that something might happen, is used in numerous day-to-day applications, including in weather forecasts.Strong theist. 100% probability of God. In the words of Carl Jung: "I do not believe, I know." De facto theist. Very high probability but short of 100%. ... "I do not know whether God exists but I'm inclined to be skeptical." De facto atheist. Very low probability, but short of zero. "I don't know for certain but I think God is very improbable ...Perhaps it is rational to think that there is only a very remote chance that God exists, and hence that we should assign a very low probability to the possibility that God exists. A reply to the response. Why the assignment of probability 1/2 is dispensable. ... 4.3 We should assign 0 probability to God’s existence.The probability that God exists and is willing to strike you with lightning on demand has been bumped up by a factor of about 2000 when you were hit by lightning! The probability is still pretty low, because of the possibility of confounding factors, which we included as event B. If you redo the same calculations but with P(B) = 0 (meaning ...As an example of his stance, Price calculates the supposed probability of viewing the tide not coming into shore one day using Bayes’ formula. His final estimation of “somewhere between 1 in 600,000 and 1 in 3 million” indicates, that though improbable, miracles do in fact exist and are the product of a higher power.In the introduction to The Existence of God Richard Swinburne writes, “The book is written in deep conviction of the possibility of reaching a fairly well-justified conclusion by rational argument on this issue [of the existence of God], perhaps the most important of all deep issues that stir the human mind” (2004, 1–2).I found myself …The Christian faith entails doctrines that increase the probability of the co-existence of God and evil. ... God’s existence is probable. Probabilities are relative to what background information you consider. For example, suppose Joe is a student at the University of Colorado. Now suppose that we are informed that 95% of University of ...The Pascalian argument can be put briefly in this way: If one believes and God exists, then one gains infinite bliss after death. If, on the other one believes in God and God does not exist, one has lost very little. if one does not believe in God, and God does exist, one receives. torment in Hell after death.As an example of his stance, Price calculates the supposed probability of viewing the tide not coming into shore one day using Bayes’ formula. His final estimation of “somewhere between 1 in 600,000 and 1 in 3 million” indicates, that though improbable, miracles do in fact exist and are the product of a higher power.Introduction. The realm of statistics has often been used to argue for the existence of God or some higher power. From the probability of Jesus fulfilling biblical prophecies to the anthropic principle that delves into the improbable factors that allow for life on Earth, these arguments present extremely high probabilities to …Sep 8, 2023 · So, figuring out the probability that God exists and created this universe is academic, relative to your question (unless one can show the likelihood that God exists is 100%, but then looking at our universe as you wish wouldn't be necessary). The probability that a god exists (or existed) is more than the percentage of germs that hand-sanitizer kills (99.999%) [or at the very least: it's more reasonable to believe that a god exists than to believe that we exist because of random chance] ... This is a fine example on why arguing god's existence is unlikely to persuade others is ...YOU believe the thing is real, and so its up to YOU to demonstrate to others that its real. The word "god" to me means a fictional, anthropomorphic magical immortal. So technically a Superman comic would prove that a god, as i see it, exists. Superman is a fictional anthropomorphic magic immortal. Superman is a god.This monkey god program also doesn't take into account chemistry. I will admit that the title of my post was misleading fine tuning doesn't prove the existence of God it only suggests it. EDIT2: Here is the source which includes the claim for 10 123 not 10 10123 which was a typo on my part . Upon deeper look the essay is not credible enough (no ...Indeed, the reasons philosophers cite for the non-existence of God usually have nothing to do with either topic. 2 Still, most philosophers (73 per cent) do not believe that God …The probability of that happening comes out at about 1 in 10 2,685,000, or 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeros. For comparison, the Universe only has 10 80 atoms. The infographic finishes by letting you know that the probability of you existing as you is pretty much zero. This means that you are the textbook definition of a miracle.The down-and-outers rallied -- but let's see whether that changed what's going on under the hood....NVDA I feel as though the Market Gods heard my complaints and in an effo...Odds on that God exists, says scientist. Stewart Maclean, Catherine Bolsover and Polly Curtis. Monday March 8, 2004. A scientist has calculated that there is a 67% chance that God exists. Dr Stephen Unwin has used a 200-year-old formula to calculate the probability of the existence of an omnipotent being.As long as the probability that God exists is non-zero, then the infinite payoff should counterbalance that and mean that you should bet for God. Because on the other side, there's only a finite ... That's a bad methodology. But it doesn't tell you if I am correct. I could be correct for bad reasons. The only way you can determine the probability that I am correct is to know the probability that a God exists. Think of it this way. You are going to roll a 6 sided die. I had a dream that you rolled a 1. The probability my dream is correct is ... What is the probability that God exists? a 67% A scientist has calculated that there is a 67% chance that God exists. Dr Stephen Unwin has used a 200-year-old formula to calculate the probability of the existence of an omnipotent being.This irreducible complexity points more strongly to the probability that God exists than to a gradual evolutionary path. A physicist, Dr. Stephen Unwin, used the Bayesian theory of mathematics to calculate the probability of God’s existence, producing a figure of 67% (although he is personally 95% sure of …If God exists and I don’t believe in God, I may go to hell, which is infinitely bad. If God does not exist, then whether I believe in God or not, whatever I’d gain or lose would be finite. So, I should believe in God. ... As long as we don’t assign this probability 0, then atheism isn’t a worse bet than believing a religion. …Oct 4, 2022 · To do this, he considered two possibilities. First, God exists. Second, God does not exist. Then he examined the consequences of believing or not believing in God after death.Apr 13, 2020 · Enter probabilities between 0 and 1 in the grey boxes below. For more detailed instructions, click here. Option. God Exists. God doesn't Exist. Probability that …Jul 29, 2013 · Applied to the existence of God, what this means is that in the absence of any evidence whatsoever, we should simply have no opinion about whether or not God exists. There is no implication that the probability of God’s existence is 0. Your friend’s theory resembles Rudolf Carnap’s Logical Foundations of Probability (1951), in which ... The bigger question is: How many different miracles we need before we can establish the conditional probability of God’s existence? Let us consider the case of multiple independent testimonies. A good way to think about it is to use Bayesian updating for each new person arrives and testifies. And so, we arrive at a result very similar to the ...Hence, by principles of probability, which I discussed in Chapter 3, for each e n P(h|e n & k) > P (h|k and so each argument from e n to h was a good C-inductive argument for the existence of God. I also argued that one phenomenon—the existence of morality—that has been considered to be confirming evidence of the …That is, the probability that evil exists given God does is different from the probability that God exists given evil does. This crucial distinction Unwin minds attentively. The real question is this: how can probability prove a thing and its opposite simultaneously? The answer is simple: the same way logic can prove a thing and its opposite. Suppose it is the case that god exists. Then god is either a jack rabbit with antlers who smokes a pipe or god is not a jack rabbit with antlers who smokes a pipe. In absence of any particular knowledge we assign the probability of 50% to the proposition that god is a jack rabbit with antlers who smokes a pipe. By Amir D. Aczel. April 27, 2014 5:45 AM EDT. A number of recent books and articles would have you believe that—somehow—science has now disproved the existence of God. We know so much about ...Among the various versions of his wager argument, Pascal employs this Rule in a version which states that no matter how small the probability that God exists, as long as it is a positive, non-zero probability, the expected utility of theistic belief will dominate the expected utility of disbelief.The only take away I got from this is we'll never truly know until we die. The existence of God is a subject of debate in theology, ... Strong theist. 100% probability that God exists. In the words of Carl G. Jung: "I do not believe, I know." 1. Undefined probability for God’s existence. Premise 1 presupposes that you should have a probability for God’s existence in the first place. However, perhaps you could rationally fail to assign it a probability—your probability that God exists could remain undefined. We cannot enter here into the thorny issues …
When it comes to travel mishaps, there’s no one-size-fits-all solution and you should learn how to choose the right travel insurance. Sharing is caring! When you travel outside you.... Where do you dispose of a mattress
1. Undefined probability for God's existence. Premise 1 presupposes that you should have a probability for God's existence in the first place. However, perhaps you could rationally fail to assign it a probability — your probability that God exists could remain undefined. We cannot enter here into the thorny issues concerning the attribution ...Oct 26, 2004 · I also object to setting the a priori (initial) probability of God to ½, on the grounds that it is an extraordinary claim and the required extraordinary evidence is absent. I will use a value of Pb=0.1. Putting all the value in, I get D=0.1 and Pa=0.011. So in my estimation the probability that God exists, based only on Unwin's six factors, is 1%. The probability of God’s existence after the evidence is considered is a function of the probability before times D (“Divine Indicator Scale”): 10 indicates the evidence is 10 times as likely to be produced if God exists. 2 is two times as likely if God exists. 1 is neutral. 0.5 is moderately more likely if God does not exist.1. Undefined probability for God’s existence. Premise 1 presupposes that you should have a probability for God’s existence in the first place. However, perhaps you could rationally fail to assign it a probability—your probability that God exists could remain undefined. We cannot enter here into the thorny issues …The ontological argument is an argument that attempts to prove the existence of God through abstract reasoning alone. The argument begins with an explication of the concept of God. Part of what we mean when we speak of “God” is “perfect being”; that is what the word “God” means. A God that exists, of course, is better than a God ...Modern versions of the Kalam argument go like this: (1) Whatever begins to exist has a cause of its existence. (2) The universe began to exist. (3) Thus, the universe must have a cause of its existence (from 1 and 2). (4) God (if he exists) did not have a beginning. (5) Thus, God (if he exists) does not need a cause (from 1 and 4). And, since he has already shown that God's existence is not improbable without religious experience, it follows that we should rely on religious experience to conclude that the probability that God's existence is greater than ½. Q.E.D. So much for a summary of the book. The reviewer has also recognized that probability questions have an order. That is, the probability that evil exists given God does is different from the probability that God exists given evil does. This crucial distinction Unwin minds attentively. Judging by his obsessiveness over niggling detail, Carrier probably gets it right, too.Aug 18, 2010 · The probability of God’s existence after the evidence is considered is a function of the probability before times D (“Divine Indicator Scale”): 10 indicates the evidence is 10 times as likely to be produced if God exists. 2 is two times as likely if God exists. 1 is neutral. 0.5 is moderately more likely if God does not exist. Feb 20, 2017 · \[p = \textrm{Your Personal Probability That a God Exists}\] Now what is your expected payoff if you choose to believe in a god? Well it should be a probability … And, since he has already shown that God's existence is not improbable without religious experience, it follows that we should rely on religious experience to conclude that the probability that God's existence is greater than ½. Q.E.D. So much for a summary of the book. You should assess what the possible gains and losses are in each case, while acknowledging that so far as you know, in the sphere of subjective probability, there’s an equal chance: the probability that god exists is true is one-half, and the probability that it is not the case that god exists is the same. There …Jun 30, 2009 · P(h|k) is called ‘the prior probability that God exists’ and also ‘the intrinsic probability that God exists’. ‘Prior probability’ is the standard name from confirmation theory. ‘Intrinsic probability’ indicates that k is ‘mere tautological evidence’. Footnote 3 According to Swinburne, the main determinant of P(h|k) is ... The probability that they were established by chance is zero. The only viable, rational explanation for the existence of such a finely tuned planet and solar system is that it was created on purpose by God ... Key Take-Away: We know God exists because we can be 100% certain that He created the finely tuned universe and our position in it to ...THE PROBABILITY OF GOD IS A wonderful yet deeply flawed book. Physicist and risk-analyst Stephen D. Unwin uses a statistical method called Bayesian analysis to conclude that there is a 67% "probability" that God exists. The book is thought-provoking and written in a witty and engaging style. I found it impossible not to enjoy reading it.An argument pro or con the existence of God, based on probability, is an argument in which the premises address purely logical concepts. Existence, or lack thereof, cannot be the conclusion of a purely logical argument. Mathematical probability, which numerically characterizes the composition of logical sets, has nothing to do with the ....
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